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Dec 12, 2012
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we will have calmed eurozone fears, revived china and an emerging world. gear u.s. recovery, which is operating on far more cylinders. housing activity. bank lending. falling unemployment rate. and finally, we would have restored a lot of debt balance sheet. that's a lot of positive force for the economy in 2013. i don't think it needs more fed involvement. >> likely to get something, though. i think we can both agree on that. what about the cliff? >> i think the cliff -- i think it's going to sound ugly and mean because that's the way you negotiate right up until the end of the year. i think we're going to get a modest tax hike, modest spending cut, and extend a lot of the existing relationships to live to fight for another day. >> jim, stick around as we kick it around with the traders. financials, that's what jim likes. >> i think the market is playing a game of three-card monty right now. you have the fed on one side, fiscal cliff in the middle, and i think earnings is actually where the coin is. that's where the prize is. i think the market is vulnerable becaus
we will have calmed eurozone fears, revived china and an emerging world. gear u.s. recovery, which is operating on far more cylinders. housing activity. bank lending. falling unemployment rate. and finally, we would have restored a lot of debt balance sheet. that's a lot of positive force for the economy in 2013. i don't think it needs more fed involvement. >> likely to get something, though. i think we can both agree on that. what about the cliff? >> i think the cliff -- i think...
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Dec 12, 2012
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credit outperformance and the valuation gap closing, and i think we get much more conviction about a china recovery and europe exiting recession so those really support stocks. >> what are you basing it on when you say we'll see a recovery in the second half? what's going to spur that? >> one of the things we studied pretty deeply in the report is looking at durable goods spending. never in u.s. history have we spent this little on construction and housing starts in cap "x." even s&p cap "x" is still pretty close to the 2009 lows, and, you know, when you think about all of that, you have to be very contrarian in terms of sectors this year or next year. >> right. >> and the surprise i think is going to be basic materials. that's the worst per forming group of the last two years. really almost a historic underperformance of that sector, and, again, it's very died to gdp picking up. >> very quickly, tom, do you change your outlook for next year if we go off the fiscal cliff? >> yeah. i mean, if we have a cliff and a recession, there is no bull market. you know, bull markets end with recession
credit outperformance and the valuation gap closing, and i think we get much more conviction about a china recovery and europe exiting recession so those really support stocks. >> what are you basing it on when you say we'll see a recovery in the second half? what's going to spur that? >> one of the things we studied pretty deeply in the report is looking at durable goods spending. never in u.s. history have we spent this little on construction and housing starts in cap...
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Dec 5, 2012
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they were just approved in china. apple is going to be under pressure. i know the last time i was on, i think with we talked about how apple could be moving towards $600 or $700 by year end. i don't think that's going to happen. when you see the earnings come out, the other end of the pipeline from this quarter and next quarter, particularly when a recent nielsen survey said that 30% of desk top and laptop users are now going to use their devices less because they're using, what, tablets, which apple is the market leader. then you're going to see blockbuster earnings over the next two quarters. >> all right. we'll leave it there. gentlemen, thank you very much. we'll be watching apple and this market on the possibility for a deal. thanks, gentlemen. see you soon. we're just 26 days away from the fiscal cliff. steve liesman joins us now live from the treasury. he has an exclusive interview with one of the key negotiators at the white house, secretary of treasury timothy geithner. >> maria, thank you. i'm here with the secretary of treasury at a crucial ti
they were just approved in china. apple is going to be under pressure. i know the last time i was on, i think with we talked about how apple could be moving towards $600 or $700 by year end. i don't think that's going to happen. when you see the earnings come out, the other end of the pipeline from this quarter and next quarter, particularly when a recent nielsen survey said that 30% of desk top and laptop users are now going to use their devices less because they're using, what, tablets, which...
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Dec 6, 2012
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if china mobile extracts big concessions to the u.s. providers, then go back and do the same. that's the principal issue. the other thing you're coming to the most important quarter in apple's recent memory and that's because you've had so many product launches coming in this last quarter they've really got to hit the cover off the ball. having said all that i still think apple long-term is a value play here, i still think it's a growth play, so it's just the right time to get in. >> dennis? >> joe brighton brings up the topic of a generational circumstance. going back a generation to me this reminds me of what happened in the early 1970s when you had the wonderful nifty 50 stocks you were supposed to own forever, all of which are wonderful companies -- >> 1970s or 1870s? >> i look like i was from the 1870s but apple is a wonderful company but not a good stock at this point. you have to be careful here. >> stephanie, what do you do, sitting there at home watching what all of us say as america's best loved stock, most valuable company on earth and watch it fall as far as it's f
if china mobile extracts big concessions to the u.s. providers, then go back and do the same. that's the principal issue. the other thing you're coming to the most important quarter in apple's recent memory and that's because you've had so many product launches coming in this last quarter they've really got to hit the cover off the ball. having said all that i still think apple long-term is a value play here, i still think it's a growth play, so it's just the right time to get in. >>...
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Dec 6, 2012
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the next 50 years we are adding 3 billion new consumers, china, india, brazil. let's add i understondonesia to. 3 billion consumers growing in the consumption trends. the growth that will come in front of us in the next 50 years have nothing to do with what has been achieved in the last 50 years. the only difference is that it will be done in those new markets, one, and the specificity of those markets, young people, loving brands, loving sports and becoming rich much sooner compared with what we've been enjoying in other markets. that means attractiveness towards luxury brands starts much sooner in those new markets. >> my thanks to the ceo of ppr. >>> tomorrow morning's key jobs report could move your money even before the opening bell rings. we have our panel of wall street's top market pros giving you a leg up on the ore side of this break. stay with us. we're back in a moment on "the closing bell." americans are always ready to work hard for a better future. since ameriprise financial was founded back in 1894, they've been committed to putting clients first
the next 50 years we are adding 3 billion new consumers, china, india, brazil. let's add i understondonesia to. 3 billion consumers growing in the consumption trends. the growth that will come in front of us in the next 50 years have nothing to do with what has been achieved in the last 50 years. the only difference is that it will be done in those new markets, one, and the specificity of those markets, young people, loving brands, loving sports and becoming rich much sooner compared with what...
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Dec 13, 2012
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china, hard landing, so you've got worries about that so that's less downside. >> the dividend payers everybody was rushing, to you're going even beyond that to riskier assets in the stock market. >> going into cyclicals, some of which have been beaten down. these are the kinds of things. i think, now, the fiscal cliff saanich u, no question about it. we are going to get fiscal tightening one way or the other. what we're assuming is this is such a lose-lose proposition for both sides. if they actually let this thing, not gust get through december 31st and do nothing about it. think about it. can president obama get anything done until he gets something, no? >> all the cuts that happened as a result of the fiscal cliff, all over the place. let's cut hundreds of billions in defense. it doesn't indicate what missions are going to be no longer what, programs we're going to kim. i mean, we really have to be stupid to be doing that. >> so irresponsible. >> not knowing where the cuts are hitting. >> right. >> for the security of this country. >> i agree. >> so, therefore, you're going to get
china, hard landing, so you've got worries about that so that's less downside. >> the dividend payers everybody was rushing, to you're going even beyond that to riskier assets in the stock market. >> going into cyclicals, some of which have been beaten down. these are the kinds of things. i think, now, the fiscal cliff saanich u, no question about it. we are going to get fiscal tightening one way or the other. what we're assuming is this is such a lose-lose proposition for both...
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what happens in price control is almost invariably distortion of the allocation of resources china has got big problems in its system of credit the government controls and commands that fix interest rates allocates credit especially to state owned enterprises hence the empty shopping malls indeed empty cities now it's not so very different from what we have in this country where the federal reserve is muscling around the yield curve and sitting on the funds rate and raising up asset prices in the name of some set of goals that it's thinks are desirable it is heavily in the business of price control and indeed heavily into the business of central planning gradually and by the agree we have come to have all too much in common with what we call red china and there you go we'll have to leave it there i really appreciate you being here today jim grant always a pleasure on the day lauren pleasure thank you so much. all right let's wrap up with viewer feedback because it's friday and we have had some hotly debated interviews this week and we've received so much feedback so we have some good o
what happens in price control is almost invariably distortion of the allocation of resources china has got big problems in its system of credit the government controls and commands that fix interest rates allocates credit especially to state owned enterprises hence the empty shopping malls indeed empty cities now it's not so very different from what we have in this country where the federal reserve is muscling around the yield curve and sitting on the funds rate and raising up asset prices in...
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Dec 14, 2012
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also, china story. apple's iphone is officially on sale in china starting today. that should help apple reverse a slide in its market share in that really important area. but analysts say the key to apple's future in china is a tie-up with the telecom operator china mobile. the two have been in talks for years but haven't yet come to any agreement. and you wonder how much china, how much do they want? how much do you have to give up to get a part over there? almost everything, right? >> pretty much. all of your data, everything -- >> their way, they get your technology. do they get the lion's share of -- do they split anything down the middle? >> anyway let's talk about facebook. a major facebook lockup expiration is happening today. early employees' investors will get their first chance to sell about 156 million facebook shares since the ipo back in may. and joining us now on the "squawk" newsline, henry blodget, the ceo and editor in chief at business insider. good morning. >> good morning, thanks for having me. >> a little prognostication here. does this matter
also, china story. apple's iphone is officially on sale in china starting today. that should help apple reverse a slide in its market share in that really important area. but analysts say the key to apple's future in china is a tie-up with the telecom operator china mobile. the two have been in talks for years but haven't yet come to any agreement. and you wonder how much china, how much do they want? how much do you have to give up to get a part over there? almost everything, right? >>...
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Dec 5, 2012
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>> china is creating that great demand? >> yeah. the chinese customers. >> aren't margins lower than in an average hotel? you charge more but the services cost more. >> very expensive -- we need to be in a location that we can charge a good price and have high occupancy. otherwise the model doesn't work. >> what's the cheapest room i could get? >> in cairo? >> dominic strauss kahn -- >> in kabul, $800. for christmas, $2,000 a night. >> 2,000? >> for the christmas season, yes. and of course, the rest of year is about $800 a night. but last year, christmas, 64% of our guests rebooked for this year. that means we're giving value. that's what it's all about. that customer wants value by individually reliable attention. and that's what we're doing. business is exceptional. what is not exceptional is development of new hotels in the u.s. and europe. there's not development the last few years. that is, of course -- that hampers our growth. >> it hampers growth but makes you more -- the ones that are existing would be more dear, wouldn't th
>> china is creating that great demand? >> yeah. the chinese customers. >> aren't margins lower than in an average hotel? you charge more but the services cost more. >> very expensive -- we need to be in a location that we can charge a good price and have high occupancy. otherwise the model doesn't work. >> what's the cheapest room i could get? >> in cairo? >> dominic strauss kahn -- >> in kabul, $800. for christmas, $2,000 a night. >>...
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Dec 7, 2012
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among the catalysts were that china's economy is stabilizing. the nikkei hit a seven-month closing high yesterday. and in europe you can see the markets are indicated slightly lower but, again, these are the same sort of moves in the futures here. a lot could depend on what happens at 8:30. >> why are you shaking your head, joe? >> nothing. i was getting info. >>> a new survey by potomac research group finds 60% of leading investment professionals predict a sharp decline in the economy if the government fails to make a deal. it's defined as a more than 10% drop in the dow. he's still shaking his head. the group polled hedge fund and pension funds and money market managers and 56% surveyed said a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff by year end. 44% predict failure in the ongoing negotiations. >>> let's get back to the jobs report due out, in less than 30 minutes, joining us now is mark zandi, chief economist at moody's analytics and jared bernstein former economic adviser to vice president joe biden. he has the finest nod and smile when he's introduce
among the catalysts were that china's economy is stabilizing. the nikkei hit a seven-month closing high yesterday. and in europe you can see the markets are indicated slightly lower but, again, these are the same sort of moves in the futures here. a lot could depend on what happens at 8:30. >> why are you shaking your head, joe? >> nothing. i was getting info. >>> a new survey by potomac research group finds 60% of leading investment professionals predict a sharp decline in...
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it doesn't come from china the government doesn't have it all on this idea that dollars come from china they don't write and because naturally we can print our own money that's true but i think that that's an important distinction that i would like to see made which is the distinction between the thing and the value of the thing or the things of value so the dollar is the thing but the dollar has value the dollar doesn't get its value from its from from from from itself it's a currency it gets its value from people's willingness to use it in transactions so you've got people that are willing to lend china is willing to lend the united states were able to borrow from china that is natural value that that currency gets because they're willing to the chinese voluntarily give it value they're willing to hold it there's taxation which is the other side of value coin which is forced value were forcing value into the currency as the sovereign you're saying you must pay me in this currency and therefore i still value in that thing so i think that's an important distinction to make and i think f
it doesn't come from china the government doesn't have it all on this idea that dollars come from china they don't write and because naturally we can print our own money that's true but i think that that's an important distinction that i would like to see made which is the distinction between the thing and the value of the thing or the things of value so the dollar is the thing but the dollar has value the dollar doesn't get its value from its from from from from itself it's a currency it gets...
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china's china example she said well china those really resemble anything i think any amount here would support you know you don't want empty buildings but yes that's where the rubber meets the pavement and that has been in your view ideology and what happens in reality one hundred percent because the thing with china is what's their goal their goal is g.d.p. growth and jobs growth is if your goal is growth and jobs then you're not focused on. profitable investment you're not focused on making sure that your investment for ten thirty whatever period of time it is. turns a profit so what happens you naturally have malinvestment and you always do the real economy but the point is in china as an example if the state is the right investments getting all those growth people get jobs that build things then you have massive row investor you do have empty buildings and that to me is a problem is not adequately addressed that there seems to be this desire to live in this theoretical world where things would work if the only way they could write their own reality we often see so so different and
china's china example she said well china those really resemble anything i think any amount here would support you know you don't want empty buildings but yes that's where the rubber meets the pavement and that has been in your view ideology and what happens in reality one hundred percent because the thing with china is what's their goal their goal is g.d.p. growth and jobs growth is if your goal is growth and jobs then you're not focused on. profitable investment you're not focused on making...
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Dec 18, 2012
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and among the catalyst here, signs that china's recovery is gaining traction. sources say that the bank of japan will ease monetary policy this week and consider adopting a 2% inflation target no later than january. policymakers are seen responding to pressure from the incoming prime minister there. shinzo abe for stronger efforts to beat deflation. in the meantime, india's central bank kept interest rates on hold yesterday ignoring pressure to reduce borrowing costs. policymakers said they were shifting the focus to reducing the economy and that raises the odds of a rate cut as early as january. andrew olson, over to you. >> ubs reportedly nearing a fine of up to $1.5 billion. the bank is close to finalizing a deal with regulators according to the financial times. about three dozen bankers and senior managers are said to face criminal or civil charges. >>> and it's official this morning, tend of an era for aig. details emerged during squawk yesterday. today, the u.s. insurer rates $6.5 billion from the sale of its remaining stake in aia group. and boeing is ra
and among the catalyst here, signs that china's recovery is gaining traction. sources say that the bank of japan will ease monetary policy this week and consider adopting a 2% inflation target no later than january. policymakers are seen responding to pressure from the incoming prime minister there. shinzo abe for stronger efforts to beat deflation. in the meantime, india's central bank kept interest rates on hold yesterday ignoring pressure to reduce borrowing costs. policymakers said they...
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Dec 6, 2012
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of big caterpillar equipment and talk about what's going on in china and i hope we get back to that. you're right that's all we're talking about instead of talking about caterpillar and what you do well as a great company. >> thank you. again, every time i come to the floor it's the hub of our greatness in this country of business. it's why we're here. it's really fun and exciting and let answer get into '13 and get into real things. i'm with you, joe. >> i know, but this deal has to play in peoria. >> it will play. >> compared to what you got in illinois now anything looks good. thanks. >> okay. >>> the executive chef tpz at jpmorgan the bank naming two chief officers to oversee things like anti-moneying. kayla tausche joins us. >> the person to watch everyone watching is looking at jez staly, he was chairman as of july largely viewed as a swank song role that rivals have taken note of. there were discussions over the ceo at legg mason, the baltimore asset manager. the talks fell apart and staly was the top of the short list for the board and recruiters after being serious talks for
of big caterpillar equipment and talk about what's going on in china and i hope we get back to that. you're right that's all we're talking about instead of talking about caterpillar and what you do well as a great company. >> thank you. again, every time i come to the floor it's the hub of our greatness in this country of business. it's why we're here. it's really fun and exciting and let answer get into '13 and get into real things. i'm with you, joe. >> i know, but this deal has...
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Dec 17, 2012
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you mentioned the copper, the china plays. the comments. the caterpillars of the world. >> remember when ets, used to buy the actual commodity, i don't know how much, but i do see there's a lot of things that tell me that it indicates maybe we reverse. i don't like big up monday openings. i feel like they often tend to fool people. the empire was not good. it's mixed here. it's just definitively mixed. we're thirsty for those earnings. oracle could be big. ge analysts' meetings could be big. >> it is expected to give guidance for 2013. there's a 2:00 p.m. eastern time conference call, i believe, associated with that. so we may be learning some things in terms of at least our expectations next year from ge. increased its dividend last week, that not that long ago during the financial crisis was cut. rather substantially. over the last year, ge capital has begun paying a dividend yet again to its parent ge. and so it will be interesting to hear. we should point out ge still owns 49% as well as universal. >> ge made a major move. into oil and
you mentioned the copper, the china plays. the comments. the caterpillars of the world. >> remember when ets, used to buy the actual commodity, i don't know how much, but i do see there's a lot of things that tell me that it indicates maybe we reverse. i don't like big up monday openings. i feel like they often tend to fool people. the empire was not good. it's mixed here. it's just definitively mixed. we're thirsty for those earnings. oracle could be big. ge analysts' meetings could be...
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Dec 11, 2012
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we can talk china. europe's been left behind. the only thing that's keeping us back is any deal. just get any deal if we can get 4% growth? >> it has to be a real deal that's north of $4 trillion. here's where kent and i might disagree. i agree that we can get to a grand bargain but it has to be one in my case where you've actually made the decisions. i'm not going to do another process bill, i'm sorry. you know -- >> meaning -- >> i want -- let's implement the policies right now. i don't want to set up another committee, i don't want to give directions to committees to come back. you know there's an old adage here in the senate, there's nothing to be learned from the second kick in the shin from a mule. okay? we've already been down the path of a process. we had 12 really smart folks, six on each side, and i'm not willing to go down that route again. i want us to make the decisions now, i want the entitlement reforms put in place now, and i hope that speaker boehner will not negotiate a way the debt ceiling until those specific reforms are in place. that's been missing in this d
we can talk china. europe's been left behind. the only thing that's keeping us back is any deal. just get any deal if we can get 4% growth? >> it has to be a real deal that's north of $4 trillion. here's where kent and i might disagree. i agree that we can get to a grand bargain but it has to be one in my case where you've actually made the decisions. i'm not going to do another process bill, i'm sorry. you know -- >> meaning -- >> i want -- let's implement the policies right...
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Dec 26, 2012
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china. you want to be in them when the great wall's crumbling. i have seen downgrades of stocks like yum because it's got a huge chinese business through kfc, and coach which has been expanding agrefsly in china. imagine kfc. similarly a steel company without paying attention to what the chinese are dumping on our markets slyke taking your financial life in your own hands. how are we finding out? companies as diverse as corning, ppg all march to the beat of the asian drummer these days. you're not going see it in the release. it's all in the pestering frt analysts. pretty simple. listen to the call and don't hang up until you've read the questioners. read the transcript. one piece of the earnings puzing which is incredible, this is the earnings season that you have to weather something that i've never talked about before. and we've got to do this before we're done for the night. one that's become obvious to anyone who watches this show regularly. can't believe i have to do this but i'm going to say it. you have to know the chart of the stock head
china. you want to be in them when the great wall's crumbling. i have seen downgrades of stocks like yum because it's got a huge chinese business through kfc, and coach which has been expanding agrefsly in china. imagine kfc. similarly a steel company without paying attention to what the chinese are dumping on our markets slyke taking your financial life in your own hands. how are we finding out? companies as diverse as corning, ppg all march to the beat of the asian drummer these days. you're...
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Dec 27, 2012
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i think china is coming out of some of their troubles. crude was up a fair amount yesterday. and if you look at, say, the crude chart and the caterpillar chart, they're very similar. big round trip from the lows of the summer, big high. but now we're building a base and if china is going to end up doing better, then all the infrastructure that caterpillar supports is going to be great for that company. >> yeah. housing, you saw that in the journal today, huh? that has to be -- that might offset, if we could get housing going again, that might offset a lot of things happening in d.c. >> great news about housing prices finally. although i'm also the kind of guy who thinks that actually a little inflation or actually a fair amount of inflation would be great for the housing market. for some people, it's the only way that they're going to get out of this situation they're in in housing. that is they're under water on their homes. for a nation of debtors, inflation is a great thing. it doesn't do a whole lot for savers. but if you're under water on your house, inflation might be t
i think china is coming out of some of their troubles. crude was up a fair amount yesterday. and if you look at, say, the crude chart and the caterpillar chart, they're very similar. big round trip from the lows of the summer, big high. but now we're building a base and if china is going to end up doing better, then all the infrastructure that caterpillar supports is going to be great for that company. >> yeah. housing, you saw that in the journal today, huh? that has to be -- that might...
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Dec 21, 2012
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china not as bad as we though, u.s. very strong. so nike, if it goes back to 97, it means we're going to have a real bad couple of days in my view. look at red hat. red hat is a technology company that is deeply involved in the cloud. they, too, had a better than expected number, as did oracle in the cloud. so these are my two tales for the trading today, david. if you pick the best of the best and they go down, you'll really have a couple of -- >> when it comes to the so-called cloud play and the use of it in the competition here, is that one of the key names? >> yes, it allows you to manage cloud in a cheap -- an anti-microsoft business. their partner is sales force.com. i'm really using these as tells. in other words, these are the ones where there's natural buyers. as we just found out how good things are. it wasn't like we found out a month ago. we just found out last night. if they have resilience, the market is going to be more resilient than people think. if they give up the ghost, i think next week's going to be difficult,
china not as bad as we though, u.s. very strong. so nike, if it goes back to 97, it means we're going to have a real bad couple of days in my view. look at red hat. red hat is a technology company that is deeply involved in the cloud. they, too, had a better than expected number, as did oracle in the cloud. so these are my two tales for the trading today, david. if you pick the best of the best and they go down, you'll really have a couple of -- >> when it comes to the so-called cloud...
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Dec 19, 2012
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the world bank sees china expanding by 8.4% next year. it's expecting that it will be fueled by fiscal stimulus and the faster implementation of large investment projects. today's forecast is higher than an earlier one that was sited in a world bank report in october. 8.4%, not bad both if you can get it. >>> speaking of china, the united states is moving forward with plans to slap steep anti-dumping duties on wind turbine towers that are imported from china at prices that are deemed unfairly low. the news from the commerce department comes as u.s. officials welcomed a high-level chinese delegation for trade and economic talks. the u.s. trade panel has final approval over the duties and is expected to vote on the case in late january. >>> in corporate news, ubs hit with a $1.5 million fine today. that will add up, a few more of those. the swiss bank admitting to fraud, it paying bribes to brokers. and pervasive, they call it manipulation of libor by dozens of staff. the penalty was agreed to with u.s., u.k., and swiss regulators. it is mo
the world bank sees china expanding by 8.4% next year. it's expecting that it will be fueled by fiscal stimulus and the faster implementation of large investment projects. today's forecast is higher than an earlier one that was sited in a world bank report in october. 8.4%, not bad both if you can get it. >>> speaking of china, the united states is moving forward with plans to slap steep anti-dumping duties on wind turbine towers that are imported from china at prices that are deemed...
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Dec 18, 2012
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you've been to china a lot in recent week. we keep trying to make sense of the data that comes in from china overnight. some of the industrial production numbers. >> remember, we have 16 businesses in china. i spent a lot of my time over there and we've got a great asian presence overall. so what are we seeing? one, exports are slowing and dramatic to europe. that's a structural fen phenomena. the second major market is real estate and my assumption is that they don't want real estate to go up too much and they can't have it go down too much because it will hurt the bank. so we're in a holding pattern. they are looking to liberalize the overall economy. you've seen the stock market rally. that's based on the assumption that growth is stabilizing and, more importantly, i think the new administration is going to try to do liberalize and the message is, don't expect us to lower rates to try to reduce growth. that's what they did in the past that created bubbles and issues. i think what they are going to try to quietly do is stabi
you've been to china a lot in recent week. we keep trying to make sense of the data that comes in from china overnight. some of the industrial production numbers. >> remember, we have 16 businesses in china. i spent a lot of my time over there and we've got a great asian presence overall. so what are we seeing? one, exports are slowing and dramatic to europe. that's a structural fen phenomena. the second major market is real estate and my assumption is that they don't want real estate to...
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Dec 13, 2012
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kfc in china. that's the growth in their, i think isn't yum bigger than mcdonald's in terms of total number? >> yeah. >> i think subway is, too. research -- >> they don't even call it kentucky tried anymore. >> kfc. >> and it's really chicken. >> that's uncalled for. what do you think it is, cat? that is uncalled for. >> this is all i'll say. >> tastes like chicken. >> yes, it's chicken! if david novak -- >> taco bell. >> yeah, taco bell. >> is that really meat? is that your next -- >> no. all right. the restaurant -- research in motion, rim shares coming off a seven-month high on news that the u.s. immigrations and customs enforcement agent are going to use the blackberry 10 on a trial basis. that is on news, did you see this, that the agency is going to ditch the iphone in favor -- >> okay, so why? >> i don't know. i just want to say, so blackberry was one of the sponsors of the thing yesterday, at the dealbook conference and they showed off the blackberry 10. >> kel me about it. >> they have one
kfc in china. that's the growth in their, i think isn't yum bigger than mcdonald's in terms of total number? >> yeah. >> i think subway is, too. research -- >> they don't even call it kentucky tried anymore. >> kfc. >> and it's really chicken. >> that's uncalled for. what do you think it is, cat? that is uncalled for. >> this is all i'll say. >> tastes like chicken. >> yes, it's chicken! if david novak -- >> taco bell. >> yeah,...
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Dec 3, 2012
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i agree it is a negative but you have to weigh it in the drop in unemployment, the revival in china, the four-year high in confidence, the rise in home prices and housing activity. a lot of other positives will help keep consumers, businesses and other things strong even in the face of modest tightening. >> which sectors are at risk? even if there is an agreement. you say there are certain sectors at risk even with an agreement. >> the areas at risk are more the risk-on strategies, the aggressive strategies. for instance technology could come under pressure. some of the areas which have been hit more recently such as high dividend stocks, dividend utilities are likely to benefit. i don't think the taxes will increase much on them after all. you have some areas which will get affected. i would say don't be aggressive. don't look for economic growth to pick up. be on the defensive side and you will be amply toward it. >> which is why people are sitting on their money right now. you are saying the fed is still there. you have the aftereffects of superstorm sandy, accommodative policy by
i agree it is a negative but you have to weigh it in the drop in unemployment, the revival in china, the four-year high in confidence, the rise in home prices and housing activity. a lot of other positives will help keep consumers, businesses and other things strong even in the face of modest tightening. >> which sectors are at risk? even if there is an agreement. you say there are certain sectors at risk even with an agreement. >> the areas at risk are more the risk-on strategies,...
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Dec 10, 2012
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this proposal also won the backing of russia and china at a conference in dubai. the pitch for direct regulation came as an unwelcome surprise to delegations from the united states and other countries that have supported the current system of regulation for the internet. when we come back, the near-term economic impact of america's debt crisis, we'll convene our "squawk" economic panel. nathan sheets and ian shepherdson on growth in 2013. right now, take a look at the equity futures. down by about 13 points. the s&p futures down by 3 points. ...so as you can see, geico's customer satisfaction is at 97%. mmmm tasty. and cut! very good. people are always asking me how we make these geico adverts. so we're taking you behind the scenes. this coffee cup, for example, is computer animated. it's not real. geico's customer satisfaction is quite real though. this computer-animated coffee tastes dreadful. geico. 15 minutes could save you 15 % or more on car insurance. someone get me a latte will ya, please? >>> welcome back to "squawk box," everyone. let's get a look at som
this proposal also won the backing of russia and china at a conference in dubai. the pitch for direct regulation came as an unwelcome surprise to delegations from the united states and other countries that have supported the current system of regulation for the internet. when we come back, the near-term economic impact of america's debt crisis, we'll convene our "squawk" economic panel. nathan sheets and ian shepherdson on growth in 2013. right now, take a look at the equity futures....
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Dec 10, 2012
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retail stocks and your exposure in china such as tiffany. >> i'm not a fan of tiffany. that stock has been a very, very difficult stock. i do think that you want to look at pch because of the warm weather in america, but on calvin klein, that's the one i think you ought to look at. got to come in, warm weather is going to cause everybody to have jitters. i wish we could forget about politics. until we get a deal, it's bad news for themarket. even for cheap stock like apple. "mad money" will be right back. >>> tonight, two companies with break through products that are leading the charge. cramer is talking to the ceos of immunojet and seattle genetics, just ahead. and later, reenergized in pipelines, they're america's energy toll road and they can provide investors with a secure source of dividends, but his investment in north dakota's oil rich back and shale continues, cramer's looking for companies that are looking to expand. all coming up on "mad money." well, if it isn't mr. margin. mr. margin? don't be modest, bob. you found a better way to pack a bowling ball. that
retail stocks and your exposure in china such as tiffany. >> i'm not a fan of tiffany. that stock has been a very, very difficult stock. i do think that you want to look at pch because of the warm weather in america, but on calvin klein, that's the one i think you ought to look at. got to come in, warm weather is going to cause everybody to have jitters. i wish we could forget about politics. until we get a deal, it's bad news for themarket. even for cheap stock like apple. "mad...
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Dec 19, 2012
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i think growth in china's accelera accelerating. the stock market might be the most undervalued in the world. the stock market entirely could be under valued. how many short sellers told you to do the opposite and sell that market? after the steam roller it's been of late, what exactly are the short sellers saying now? i don't know, i'm not hearing them clearly. i'm not listening. i'm not, no, i'm not hearing. europe and china both were supposed to slip into oblivion in 2012. that was the easiest story, everybody wrote it. turned out two fabulous places to invest. how about this housing market? most common worry, the dreaded shadow inventory. oh, the shadow inventory. >> the house of pain. >> so many banks and so many homes said the books could never recover. wasn't that the narrative? now, where are we? the shadow inventory turned out. the banks that were thought to be a ton of shadow inventory in the books, i hope they have some because they've been the hottest stocks around. especially bank of america, up more than 100% for the y
i think growth in china's accelera accelerating. the stock market might be the most undervalued in the world. the stock market entirely could be under valued. how many short sellers told you to do the opposite and sell that market? after the steam roller it's been of late, what exactly are the short sellers saying now? i don't know, i'm not hearing them clearly. i'm not listening. i'm not, no, i'm not hearing. europe and china both were supposed to slip into oblivion in 2012. that was the...
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Dec 1, 2012
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nonfu springs in china. they go to a spring, bottle up water, put it in trucks to deliver to their constituents. that process was five hours. now with hana we have the transportation plan figured out. not from five hours, in 2 1/2 minutes. what does that mean? 30% lower transportation costs. 15% lower total costs for their company. 4% margin improvement across the enterprise. the winning strategy. >> yes, it is. but now i want to one up that. tell me what you've done for eric rubin and the nfl. i'm very tired. we have a commissioner here for fantasy football. sometimes i want to wring his neck. he says i can't get the download of the waiver wire for multiple hours. this is a rival website. what have you done for nfl.com? >> eric and roger goodell, these are great leaders. they know what to do for their fans. they want to improve the fan experience. >> they pick up the phone and they call you? i know you call everybody. >> they call me. exactly. or i'll call them. as long as we talk we can solve problems. now
nonfu springs in china. they go to a spring, bottle up water, put it in trucks to deliver to their constituents. that process was five hours. now with hana we have the transportation plan figured out. not from five hours, in 2 1/2 minutes. what does that mean? 30% lower transportation costs. 15% lower total costs for their company. 4% margin improvement across the enterprise. the winning strategy. >> yes, it is. but now i want to one up that. tell me what you've done for eric rubin and...
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Dec 12, 2012
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>> man come on, we need to diversify a way to play china. which is why my charitable trust which you can follow along with actionworksplus.com is buying the ishares trust, the fxi. buy buy buy. goes to 42. go to eddie in florida. a lot of florida calls >> caller: hello, jim, a big booyah from port st. louis lucy, florida. thanks for all the help you've give mean over the years. i wish you continued good health. >> very kind. what's going on there? >> caller: okay. i own precision drilling, pbs a long time. do i stay to own it or sell it? >> i'm a big quality guy. if you're going to be in that killing game you want to be in slum burger, alias buy meaning slumber j. best in in breed. no one ever did wrong by going best if breed. mike in illinois >> caller: booyah, mr. kram. >> what's going on? >> caller: merry christmas to your and your staff. listen what's this mass welcome the biomed, admd? >> i wish i knew. without talking to the ceo directly on the show i can't make head or tails of what is really going on with that company. i did that onc
>> man come on, we need to diversify a way to play china. which is why my charitable trust which you can follow along with actionworksplus.com is buying the ishares trust, the fxi. buy buy buy. goes to 42. go to eddie in florida. a lot of florida calls >> caller: hello, jim, a big booyah from port st. louis lucy, florida. thanks for all the help you've give mean over the years. i wish you continued good health. >> very kind. what's going on there? >> caller: okay. i own...
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Dec 7, 2012
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how good is china? how weak is china. don't worry about it. unit growth coming back. china will follow in terms of same store. the market disagrees. i think the stock is very cheap. it's show me. until we see an inflection point in china, right now people feel like it's gone like this. be careful. yum. >> there are some lonely bulls out there on yum even at these levels. >> i happen to think that the united states could turn. i like the ceo. he's always reacted to whatever is bad. i don't want to write-off yum. i feel like this was so devastating. i got to see something positive before i can come on this show and say buy it. >> how about wsm? >> here's a terrific report. they say the growth story is unappreciated. william sonoma next week pier 1 reports next week restoration hardwa hardware. everything in the house is doing better. possible sandy story. possible employment story. where would those employment numbers be had it not been for sandy? business is real good for ll. no one wants to say our business is great because of sandy because of the loss of life and the
how good is china? how weak is china. don't worry about it. unit growth coming back. china will follow in terms of same store. the market disagrees. i think the stock is very cheap. it's show me. until we see an inflection point in china, right now people feel like it's gone like this. be careful. yum. >> there are some lonely bulls out there on yum even at these levels. >> i happen to think that the united states could turn. i like the ceo. he's always reacted to whatever is bad. i...
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as of the treasury's latest figures it said over the last twelve months that china has holdings have actually declined to the tune of about what one hundred fifteen billion dollars while japan has increased their holdings by a hundred forty seven billion dollars so what is the dynamic of this within the currency wars well that's a very very important point a very important story chinese are done with the dollars and they're not going to dump what they have they know that would be disasters and they're not going to do that the president could stop them but they're going to buy less and less at the margin so as they generate capital count surpluses will use that money to buy other things now the japanese have always done whatever the u.s. one of their our closest ally and go back to the seventy's when nixon one of them to raise the value of the currency they did it so what's happening is you're exactly as the chinese go down sort of phone call the japanese you guys go dial it up a little bit now the question of political it was totally political this is all being orchestrated great art
as of the treasury's latest figures it said over the last twelve months that china has holdings have actually declined to the tune of about what one hundred fifteen billion dollars while japan has increased their holdings by a hundred forty seven billion dollars so what is the dynamic of this within the currency wars well that's a very very important point a very important story chinese are done with the dollars and they're not going to dump what they have they know that would be disasters and...
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Dec 5, 2012
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that get into china. so it's not all roses, but we need new marketplaces and china is certainly growing as an extraordinary pace. >> yeah, and what's it like trying to finance productions at the moment? >> just globally -- i mean, the marketplace is pretty strong. after 2008, there was -- we kind of hit a roadblock with banks and with wall street and all of that kind of stuff. but i think the marketplace and the financial marketplace has come back pretty strong. though there are problems in some territories in europe like italy and spain, greece, of course. there are other strong markets. again, this is a reason why china and russia and brazil and india have become so important at the global scenario. >> okay, we wish you all the best. have a great few days there in singapore. >>> the british chancellor executive george osborne is giving his autumn statement today. the chancellor has already dropped big hints about what we can expect. katie barnfield has gone up to man chester to see how the government's
that get into china. so it's not all roses, but we need new marketplaces and china is certainly growing as an extraordinary pace. >> yeah, and what's it like trying to finance productions at the moment? >> just globally -- i mean, the marketplace is pretty strong. after 2008, there was -- we kind of hit a roadblock with banks and with wall street and all of that kind of stuff. but i think the marketplace and the financial marketplace has come back pretty strong. though there are...
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Dec 12, 2012
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and the non china business. and they reiterated their positive views on the stock. $17 what the stock is now. so now you know what we've got. we have a genuine home spun face off with a pack of bears duking it out against a whole posy of bulls. which group is right about yum? sell sell sell. we know the business is turned around. taco bell, haven't been there lately? hearing good things. all of the overseas business is still growing like crazy. the chinese business is so big that it accounts for 45% of the company's profits. the latest decline of the same store sales is permanent. they got sick of kentucky fried chicken and pizza hut. it seems as if the colonel may have gotten busted down to private. and i'm calling it a bump but a severe bump in the road. it is true that they are facing margin pressure. the so called tier one cities. 4% decline in same store sales is not a good thing. and there is no doubt newfound competition among chicken houses. however, yum is dealing, you know with the first issue by shift
and the non china business. and they reiterated their positive views on the stock. $17 what the stock is now. so now you know what we've got. we have a genuine home spun face off with a pack of bears duking it out against a whole posy of bulls. which group is right about yum? sell sell sell. we know the business is turned around. taco bell, haven't been there lately? hearing good things. all of the overseas business is still growing like crazy. the chinese business is so big that it accounts...
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Dec 26, 2012
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it's like owning a piece of the great wall of china. you want to be in them when the great wall is crumbling. such a pervasive worry that i've seen down grades of stocks like yum because it's got a huge chinese business through kfc. and coach which has been expanding aggressively in china because of worries about a slowdown. can you imagine a kfc? similarly, owning a steel company without paying attention to what the chinese are dumping in their market is like taking a financial life in their own hands. how do you find out? companies as diverse as corning, 3m, ppg march to the beat of the asian drummer. you're not going to see it in the release. it's all in the pestering by analysts. pretty simple. listen to the call. and don't hang up until you've heard the last questions. you can read the transcript, so you can tell how worried the analysts are about the market that's didn't move the needle a few years ago. one final piece of the earnings puzle which is incredible. this is the earnings seasons that you have to weather something that i
it's like owning a piece of the great wall of china. you want to be in them when the great wall is crumbling. such a pervasive worry that i've seen down grades of stocks like yum because it's got a huge chinese business through kfc. and coach which has been expanding aggressively in china because of worries about a slowdown. can you imagine a kfc? similarly, owning a steel company without paying attention to what the chinese are dumping in their market is like taking a financial life in their...
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Dec 6, 2012
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china. i respect samsung but apple still has cache. >> i think the bottom line from the stock perspective and getting away from the company a little bit -- because we all know all of the size of it and how much cash and all of that. just looking at the stock itself, this thing is up 8,000% the last ten years. don't think that anyone should be looking at it as having that opportunity or anything even remotely close to that going forward. so when tony says the story's changing, it is changing, but changing doesn't necessarily mean it's going somewhere negati negative. it's just going to be a different type of opportunity. >> well said as always, josh. but you also probably made the case for the capital gains sale excuse that a lot of people have been throwing out there. >> it's up 40% this year versus an s&p that's up closer to 10%. don't be shocked. everyone owns it. >> tony is right, ecosystem is worth a great deal of money. if you split up the iphone, i-mac, the iphone, it wouldn't be the s
china. i respect samsung but apple still has cache. >> i think the bottom line from the stock perspective and getting away from the company a little bit -- because we all know all of the size of it and how much cash and all of that. just looking at the stock itself, this thing is up 8,000% the last ten years. don't think that anyone should be looking at it as having that opportunity or anything even remotely close to that going forward. so when tony says the story's changing, it is...
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that china expects to be consuming every year by twenty fifteen they also note that china shows every sign of being a gold hoarder chattering among gold traders puts chinese total reserves at two thousand tonnes and they expect it's actually three thousand tons and what the times looks at this and says what the plan is for china it is incremental measures such as this combined with the fat in gold reserves that suggest to some that beijing is planning something big possibly promoting the brim in b. as an international currency partially backed by gold well recurring gas sometimes report weighed in on the twitter sphere about this jim rickards said that china gets over four thousand tons what she looks like they'll be announcing that shortly they will announce a partially gold back room and b. and also member jan squirrels said she heard a rumor that china's going to have up to six thousand tons of gold meanwhile america as leased out most of their gold in fort knox doesn't exist and of course britain sold six hundred sixty percent of their gold four hundred tons to germany back in two
that china expects to be consuming every year by twenty fifteen they also note that china shows every sign of being a gold hoarder chattering among gold traders puts chinese total reserves at two thousand tonnes and they expect it's actually three thousand tons and what the times looks at this and says what the plan is for china it is incremental measures such as this combined with the fat in gold reserves that suggest to some that beijing is planning something big possibly promoting the brim...
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Dec 21, 2012
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where is that coming from because i see china coming back a little, maybe europe's done going down, we seem to be a little bit stalled. somebody's building something around this world. >> i think it's a matter of jabil being very competitive in the markets that we serve and having sufficient diversification so that if one part of our business, for instance networking or telecommunications may be going through a lull or a slower period with government spending and business spending, capital spending down, we have some other parts of our business that are doing extremely well. you mentioned some of the mechanics business we're involved in which we call our materials technology group. that has nothing to do with electronics so we don't have to sell any electronic hardware for those businesses to perform well. parts of our business really are a reflection of the economy and other parts of our business are growing very robustly. so i'm very hopeful for the balance of the year and, you know, i think the company is diversified enough to take advantage of whatever opportunities are out there.
where is that coming from because i see china coming back a little, maybe europe's done going down, we seem to be a little bit stalled. somebody's building something around this world. >> i think it's a matter of jabil being very competitive in the markets that we serve and having sufficient diversification so that if one part of our business, for instance networking or telecommunications may be going through a lull or a slower period with government spending and business spending,...